| To: | "S" <s-news@wubios.wustl.edu> |
|---|---|
| Subject: | garch confidence intervals |
| From: | "deric hetzel" <dhetzel@sprintmail.com> |
| Date: | Thu, 27 Sep 2001 21:11:55 -0400 |
Confidence intervals for a garch forecast. I want to create a confidence interval for a garch estimate of next period's standard deviation. Using a simple garch(1,1) model with the observation model being a simple univariate time series, y(t) = c + e(t). How do I extract the coefficients, standard error of the coefficient, time t e, and time t sigma to calculate the confidence interval of the estimate. Thanks in advance, Deric |
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