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Re: Std. Error of coefficients in GAM Model

To: s-news@wubios.wustl.edu
Subject: Re: Std. Error of coefficients in GAM Model
From: "vito muggeo" <vitomuggeo@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 20 Dec 2001 13:54:06
Hi,
I really don't understand what you mean. Multicollinearity is a mathematical problem, not statistical. If, as limit, X2=k*X1, the model matrix (X'X)^(-1) is not invertible, and the algorithm should fail or report not reliable results (coeff and St.Err very HUGE). Also, if X2 is approx k*X1 you obtain estimates with huge coefficient of variation. Then the St.Err are "correct" for any design matrix X: "they are well-able to understand the structure of your data",
This is valid for any regression model;
Hope that helps you,
best,
vito


Dear list,

I would like to know the impact of concurvity , the non-parametric >analogue of
multicollinearity, on the standard error of coeffients when we use GAM. I
wonder if  the standard errors produced by summary.glm in S-plus can be
smaller than the true standard errors of the estimated parameter. For example,
the model is

fit_ gam(mortality ~ lo(time) + pollution,  .......)

where time and pollution are higly correlated.  Do I need to worry that the
estimated standard errors are too small when multicolinearity exists?.
Can standard errors from summary.glm lead one to conclude that the effect
of pollution is statistically significant when in fact it is not? If the standard errors from summary.glm are not good estimates of the true standard errors, is there
any other way to get the correct standard errors?

Thank you very much.



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