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Re: FW: Gumbel Distribution pdf

To: "Lambert.Winnie" <lambert.winnie@ensco.com>
Subject: Re: FW: Gumbel Distribution pdf
From: Ravi Varadhan <rvaradha@jhsph.edu>
Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 14:17:52 -0400
Cc: s-news@lists.biostat.wustl.edu
You are probably making some mistake in 
your simulations. I am getting answers 
that seem to make sense. Here is my code:


----- Original Message -----
From: "Lambert.Winnie" <lambert.winnie@ensco.com>
Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 10:19 am
Subject: [S] FW: Gumbel Distribution pdf

> All,
> 
> This is a non-SPLUS related stats question from a co-worker.  Would
> anyone like to tackle this?  Thanks.
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Short.Dave 
> Sent: Monday, May 19, 2003 11:03 AM
> To: Lambert.Winnie
> Subject: Gumbel Distribution pdf
> 
> 
> Winnie,
> 
>    I have a question about the Gumbel distribution that may 
> require the
> expertise of the S-PLUS community.
> 
>    If I assume an underlying Gaussian process with mean=mu and 
> standarddeviation=sigma, and look at the
> theoretical distribution of maxima drawn from samples comprised of a
> large number of realizations of the process,
> the Gumbel pdf is the answer, according to my understanding.
> 
>    The resulting Gumbel pdf can be derived from the parameters of the
> Gaussian process, mu and sigma.
> 
>    What puzzles me is that the mode of the resulting Gubel pdf 
> appearsto be equal to mu, the mean of the 
> underlying Gaussian process, and that there is a non-negligible
> probability that maximum from a large sample
> of the Gaussian process will be less than its average value.  This 
> seemscounter-intuitive.  I would have thought that the maximum
> of a large sample from the process would almost always come from the
> upper tail of the process, well above the mean.
> 
> Perhaps I have misunderstood something.
> 
> Any comments or suggestions that you or your colleagues may have are
> most welcome.
> 
> Many thanks,
> 
> Dave
> 


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